How about explain the problem and solution in 3 to 5 levels of details in a top-down hierarchical manner sort of like a decision tree. Let people decide how far they want to drill down.
What many people don't realize is why is America suddenly caring about manufacturing everything inhouse when Elites decided earlier Globalization was good, because China wants to command respect more than America. That is also the reason why Gold is pushing higher. If China was nobody, no nation would care for gold. So all these unnecessary downstream reasons distort what is actually going on.
If there was no China, Globalization would spread very strongly with Bangladesh manufacturing clothes and Milan doing the fashion show. All those calculations are coming undone. So please keep this main reason front and center when we discuss this matters.
Toyota would have gone bankrupt in post-War Japan if it wasn't from massive US demand in the Korean War.
The Vespa popularized by Hollywood's Roman Holiday propped up a post-War Italy.
Ping-Pong Diplomacy of the 70s gifted China its electronics manufacturing (think: PONG) turning it from a 3rd world backwater to what it is today. The exchange was in removing the 'Gang of Four' and the drugs associated with it.
---
The US was put into a privileged position as reserve currency of the WORLD in Bretton Woods. This is with the understanding/responsibility that the US would act as World Police and prop up foreign economies.
That’s a good point. I’m also going to bring race into this and say it’s also because the Chinese are not white. The same type of rhetoric was said about Japan in the 80s, but barely about Germany.
Even with how long Russia has been an antagonist, they are still seen as a “wayward brother.”
"There are three ways to learn. The most noble is by thinking and getting to the truth yourself. The second, which is still pretty good, is by imitating those who do. And the third one is through pain."
In prediction markets, imitation is the best policy
What if I am using Claude as a rubber duck where Claude is the crowdsourced version of all the human thoughts on that topic. It is rerouting all the thoughts ever recorded on that topic through the chatbox to me. Something synergistic could emerge.
I view it as two different things. You need sources of input to stimulate your own thoughts. Historically, talking to others, reading other works, etc. I can see a chatbot as part of that tradition.
But in your own mind, your thoughts are still incomplete. The act of writing them down (or, I imagine, in an oral tradition somehow committing to a specific narration) is very important. IMO, when you delegate that to an LLM, you are not really thinking. It's the same as if you explained your ideas to someone (eg in an interview), and then they ghost wrote the work for you.
*"The Evolution of Human Science"* (originally published in Nature in 2000 as "Catching Crumbs from the Table"), collected in Stories of Your Life and Others.
It's a very short piece written as a journal editorial. Metahumans have advanced so far beyond human comprehension that they do all the original science, communicating via digital neural transfer that humans can't access. Human scientists are left doing hermeneutics: interpreting metahuman publications and reverse-engineering their artifacts, trying to decode work they couldn't have produced themselves. The editorial asks whether human science still has a point, and lands on a modestly hopeful note: interpretation is still a legitimate form of inquiry, and understanding metahuman work still expands human knowledge even if it isn't original discovery.
It reads rather differently now than it did in 2000.
reply