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We're getting so much of this junk with the IPOs pressing.

The mimicbots are impressive but they're frustrating. We've hit the limit for pre-training data and now we're relying on RL for the next progressive steps and that gets asymptotic fast. The truth is that unsupervised learning hasn't inched forward and we don't know how it will, so we're left with benchmaxxing and LARPing about how they're escaping air-gapped configs using themal sensors, all in a desperate attempt to make the projected numbers look less insane so these people can cash out at IPO time. Everyone knows what's happening and it's embarrassing.




very cool!

Thanks for doing that!

For more context on these numbers: when I started posting these, first, I wasn't consistent, and second, I was doing something that, to the algorithm, looked suspicious, so I think the posts had a negative weight.

In 2024, HN reached out and it got more of an official blessing for me to run these, and we set an official day of the month (the second Sunday), which in turn made me more consistent.


The thing you love and made your identity was always the cruft middleman of getting from one place to another.

People were sad when we moved from horses to cars; they loved their horses, they named them. That didn't stop the slow, glacial, detached march of the calendar, of progress, and in this example, of the wheel.


were the horses sad too?

Well put and succinctly put. And if OxA is a flash model? it becomes: goodnight


The news we read is optimized for edge-event cases. Here it's about a particular number being hit.

What's more interesting is the long, overarching news stories that span decades, e.g. BRICS, and the demise of the petro-dollar


Is this a stunt? Or is ARC-AGI-3 not an interesting bench?


This is exactly my take. Except I think there was never an interest by China to make the yuan the new global reserve currency but instead slow walk it back to a gold standard, and that's what has been happening since 2008.

If a single country's currency is the global reserve currency, all you're finding out is whose thumb you're under.


Ready for a change.


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