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I think it’s timing. So many devs trying to squeeze their subscriptions, build more tooling to throughputMaxx. 6 months ago, i speculate it launches pretty flat.

Interestingly, snake oil gets it's reputation not because it is itself ineffective, but, it was because so many counterfeiters piled in selling cheapfakes, while simultaneously inflating cure-all claims. (citation, Smithsonian Magazine on Stanley Clark). Snake medicines are still used commonly in various types of Chinese medicine.


Yes, Chinese medicine indeed contains a lot of nonsense.

What disease does snake oil cure exactly according to you?


Keep in mind that the term "Snake Oil Salesman," was a twisting of the truth. Yes, it originated with Chinese immigrants from the 1800s. Among the items the Chinese railroad workers brought with them to the States were various medicines, including snake oil. Made from the oil of the Chinese water snake, which is rich in the omega-3 acids that help reduce inflammation, snake oil in its original form really was effective, especially when used to treat arthritis and bursitis. The workers would rub the oil, used for centuries in China, on their joints after a long hard day at work. The story goes that the Chinese workers began sharing the oil with some American counterparts, who marveled at the effects.

It is these American counterparts that dissembled the truth by creating ineffective variations of the formulas hence the twisting of the term, "Snake Oil Salesmen."

NRP Article on History of Snake oil Salesmen https://www.npr.org/sections/codeswitch/2013/08/26/215761377...


Correct :)


I can also recommend the book Mindfuckers - a source book on the rise of acid fascism in America. Each chapter is about a different cult from the 60s and 70s including one on the Manson's. Super interesting read.


In Pampano beach FL my 76 yo mother got pulled over for driving a stolen vehicle. Luckily the police had some common sense to decipher what happened. Plate swap, same make model and color.


I’m not a criminal*, but I hope when I’m 76 I’ll still be sufficiently lithe and compos mentis to pull off a career in crime, should I so choose.

* Though wouldn’t a criminal say that?


They might be open about their career when they can be anonymous on a website as you can on HN.


Bad faith argument, borderline flaggable. But I’ll bite. Do you not see any issue with mass surveillance of people’s movements?

I’m an American living in Turkey at the moment. My airbnb host tells me that as a white collar software guy, he personally knows a large fraction of people who have been detained in prison for 1,2 or 3 months for having parties or fake traffic violations.

Of course i don’t love the ever-tightening shackles of algorithmic pricing, which is already well in place for insurance, finance and banking.

But the situation in Turkey reminds me that we are only one “national emergency” away from your freedoms being ripped from us with zero recourse. The chilling effect here is real.

The casually interested, confidently wrong argument can be summed up pretty easily. There is a risk v reward calculation with mass surveillance. What’s the reward? I don’t know the details, but apparently police love the tech because it makes catching bad guys easier. What’s the risk? Unfathomably and Immeasurably high, in ways that we won’t always get to know, or find out years later.

Any refutation of said high risk argument should be something like “relax, guy!” The corporations and state authorities are never gonna use their surveillance of innocents in ways that have any real consequences.


> Bad faith argument, borderline flaggable

Do what you have to do. shrug But when it doesn't have any effect, consider that maybe your bar for "bad faith argument" includes large swaths of completely legitimate differing opinions.


I use chrome primarily when something appears broken in Firefox and i want to test if it’s a ff browser issue. Turns out it’s pretty much never a ff browser issue. Cmd+q


I use a Chromium fork (Brave) for this. No need to install the actual Google malware


Me too. I've been really happy with Brave.


You jumped from one malware to another.


I use FF like 99% of the time. I only touch Chromium when I need to fix a bug on Chrome based browsers..


I’ve definitely experienced step jumps down in quality on an almost daily basis. I usually used xhigh. The experience of relying on codex’s outstandingly thorough coding earlier in the year has evaporated for me. I’m seeing incredibly stupid implementations intermittently, and have simply switched to Claude until openai takes the issue seriously. As far as i could tell they haven’t taken it seriously for the several months I’ve been personally seeing it.


I've switched 3 months ago to Codex because Claude got incredibly stupid. 6 months ago vice versa. It doesn't matter if you use Codex or Claude. Both will fuck with you at some point. Though Codex probably less.


At least OpenAI lets me use my own harness. Having to rely on insane PMs letting Claude Mythos go wild on the codebase has not been going well lately.


How do you mean OpenAI lets you use your own harness? I'm under the impression that a custom harness requires the OpenAI SDK, which requires api tokens rather than plus/pro accounts.


https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2058071172361998482

"A little secret. About 5% of our production traffic is on the Pi harness, about another 5% is on OpenCode. Reminder you can use your ChatGPT account in a flourishing set of other tools.

We’ll continue to make Codex awesome, but you have options."


They will only do this while they have no users. Once they are compute constrained they won't let you do this anymore


That’s the beauty of using an open harness. I can jump ship if that ever happens.


Not just harnesses, you can even use the subscription in CI/CD. That, plus the fact that web chat does not count toward the same limits, is why I think the Codex personal plan is easily 10x the value of Claude Code.

https://developers.openai.com/codex/auth/ci-cd-auth


I'm never going back to claude from codex, including for the reasons you mentioned, but it must be said that web chat inference on ChatGPT is magic incantation, and I'm almost certain they're not serving the same models there as in Codex.

Claude web definitely feels like it's the same models behind as in API, with much less extra behavior/layers that make it behave differently.


How are you using it in ci/cd?


You must've missed the OpenAI's response to Anthropic forcing everyone to their own harness if they want subscription pricing: official endorsement of custom harnesses like opencode and pi even when used with Codex subscription.

I think they even partnered with opencode or something like that (don't remember).


Anthropic is the one that prohibits harnesses other than Claude Code on subscription plans and bans users for disobeying.

OpenAI officially allows that with subscriptions.


OpenAI doesn't require that; only Anthropic does.

OpenAI's harness is fully open source[1], and (AFAIK) doesn't come with any kind of signed-build request integrity verification like Claude does. And by that logic, if you're allowed to use their API with a fork of Codex that you yourself compiled, there's nothing stopping you from making some other harness act like such a fork.

[1] https://github.com/openai/codex


And although Codex Desktop is not open source (AFAIK), it does expose CDP and appserver which allowed me to build a Greasemonkey-like plugin system on top of it. It's surprisingly powerful, you can add transcript annotations, programmatically control the side panels, integrate a native-looking account switcher, and so on.


This sounds really cool. Do you have the source published anywhere?


Yup! MIT licensed, do whatever you want, you can also just use it directly with nodejs installed through `npx clankerbend` [0]. The screenshot on the github repo links you to a YouTube demo.

Warning: I use this daily myself for work, but beyond me arguing with it to get the CDP architecture, this was completely vibe-coded. I mostly use vim mode (jump to line, jump to prev/next user message) and the account switcher.

[0] https://github.com/onewillai/clankerbend


Will this problem not arise on other open source harness?


If you use GitHub Copilot you can switch between them in the same session if you want.


Yeah but now that you pay for tokens that's going to be bad for token caching.


Same with a third-party open harness.


I have noticed this degradation of 5.5 reliability to what, in my experience, I consider Claude-level of reliability since early June.

My journey dealing with this has been transitioning from 5.5 high to 5.5 xhigh to 5.4 high.

5.4 high has been perfectly reliable for me for the last 3 weeks, and I am happy there.

Occasionally, I run some tasks on 5.5 xhigh to check if it has gone back to being 100% perfectly reliable, but, at this point, I am assuming they are just counting on releasing 5.6 rather than dealing with this reliability issue.


I'm on the same journey but I bought a 3090 and put qwen 3.6 27b on it. It covers some things with better reliability. Obviously it doesn't have the breadth of a large model. If that's even a selling point for large models for coding?


i don't ever believe these issues are technical. They're business decisions to downgrade performance because to fix it means $$$$ and you arn't paying them enough.


Contabo, an even cheaper alternative to Hetz, raised prices this month as well by 30-35% as well. Just noting it here because i couldn’t any info elsewhere.


Contabo is still notably cheaper than it was 2 years ago. I just shut down a 2 year old VPS and made a new one because it was ~20% cheaper than it was two years ago, and I also get more CPU and more RAM


Interesting, but still very good pricing compared to the enormous increases we now see at Hetzner (plus the increase before that one). I'm wondering if they have more hardware on stock and/or better means of hardware supply.

I have a few more or less idle VMs running at different providers, and keeping an eye on the european VPS market it seems that many struggled, while contabo is relatively stable. E.g. ovh at times limited the buying process to 1 instance (now it is at 5, not sure what was the default before) and also available locations were limited at one point a few weeks back.


I wonder how aws handles this in bedrock. Do they use Anthropics classifiers? Or their own? Or none? Would their data policing be different in bedrock than their other services?


How i know Masley is trash:

> Jordan is suspiciously lurching to the extremely high energy end of the light spectrum when we know that the low energy end (comparable to infrasound) doesn’t have negative impacts on us if we can’t detect its presence.

Masley spouts the falsifiable propaganda that any photon (light/emf) below ionizing radiation energy can only cause “heat” and can have no other possible harm effects.

Many science-minded people (though more accurately in this case, billiard-world materialists) have become quite militant defenders of this idea (ostensibly fighting off the hoardes of tinfoil hatters and quantum aquarians sensitive to 5g).

This point is very plausible military industrial propaganda. There were numerous studies with evidence (starting from the 60s) such as - non ionizing radiation (eg hv powerlines) might cause lots of cancer, and it’s weaponized (sub-thermal) usage can microwave the brains of enemy spies. THOSE studies have come out in declassified and leaked docs.

Now we have several plausible and serious theories of mechanism for low-f light disrupting biology that lean into quantum biology. While the iceberg of quantum biology understanding is still in its early decades, the mounting downstream evidence of health and medical issues are established public knowledge.


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